#373 Top 500 Most Distressed Counties · 2026

Warren County, North Carolina

73.2 · high county distress 373rd of 3,144 counties nationally · 18,836 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
31% Warren residents
vs.
18% U.S. median

Above the national median for child poverty rate — and 9.9× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Douglas County, CO — 3%).

U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)

Main Findings

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Warren County, North Carolina ranks 373rd most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 31% of children live below the federal poverty line — above the national median of 18%. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer.

Key Findings
  • 373rd of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — 73.2 · high county distress, 14th in North Carolina.
  • 31% of children live below the federal poverty line (U.S. median 18%). Child poverty rate at the 91st percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
  • Credit card delinquency at 8% — national median 5%, ranked at the 85th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Debt in collections at 32% — national median 23%, ranked at the 81st percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Unemployment at 4% — national median 4%, ranked at the 75th percentile. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 26-point drop to Franklin County marks where the North Carolina distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Warren County, North Carolina and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Warren and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Warren County ranks 373rd of 3,144. American Default Research
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Warren County has a high county distress score. The score label gives the intensity; the rank gives the national position.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 35 words

The CDI gives this county a high county distress label. The rank belongs beside the score because the two answer different questions: score intensity and national position. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Reporting hook
Child poverty is the reporting lead

According to U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023), 31% of children under 18 in Warren County live below the federal poverty line, versus 18% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Jul 1, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.9% -2.1 pp since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

20.1% -7.3 pp since 1989
BEA 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

39.0% +24.7 pp since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

30.5% -10.3 pp since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Warren County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Warren County's value shown alongside NC's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Warren County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Warren NC median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 81 · Rank 509 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 8% 7% 5% 81st Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 8% 7% 5% 85th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 30% 28% 23% 76th Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 75 · Rank 566 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 32% 27% 23% 81st Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 180 87 126 70th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 50 · Rank 1,556 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 23% 22% 21% 68th HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 15% 19% 18% 32nd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Labor — domain score 75 · Rank 745 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 4% 4% 75th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 85 · Rank 209 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 31% 21% 18% 91st U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 21% 17% 16% 86th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 20% 15% 14% 87th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 11% 10% 8% 69th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Data compiled May 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS May 2026, QCEW 2024), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2026).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Safety Net & Buffer Primary driver 85
Weight 20% · Rank 209 of 3,144
Delinquency 81
Weight 20% · Rank 509 of 3,144
Default & Legal 75
Weight 20% · Rank 566 of 3,144
Labor 75
Weight 20% · Rank 745 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 50
Weight 20% · Rank 1,556 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), FRED/Equifax (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2022 to 2026 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Warren County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
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WARRENTON, N.C. — Warren County ranks 373rd among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 73.2 out of 100 gives Warren a high county distress label. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 372 counties rank more distressed. Within North Carolina, Warren ranks 14th of 100 counties.

The index, which draws on 13 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies safety net & buffer as the primary driver in Warren. 31% of children live below the federal poverty line — above the national median of 18%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Warren County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Warren County scores 73.2 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, with the score label high county distress. It ranks 373rd of 3,144 U.S. counties and 14th of 100 North Carolina counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Warren County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer, at a domain score of 85. Child poverty rate ranks at the 91st percentile nationally.

How does Warren County compare to its neighbors?

Warren County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Halifax County (85.45, very high county distress). Lowest: Franklin County (59.30, moderate county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 13 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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