#70 Top 100 Most Distressed Counties · 2026

Vance County, North Carolina

83.8 · very high county distress 70th of 3,144 counties nationally · 42,301 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
42% Vance residents
vs.
23% U.S. median

Above the national median for subprime credit share.

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025)

Main Findings

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Vance County, North Carolina ranks 70th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 42% of residents carry subprime credit (score below 660) — above the national median of 23%. Its highest-scoring domain is Delinquency.

Key Findings
  • 70th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — 83.8 · very high county distress, 3rd in North Carolina.
  • 42% of residents carry subprime credit (score below 660) (U.S. median 23%). Subprime credit share at the 97th percentile nationally. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025).
  • Child poverty rate at 37% — national median 18%, ranked at the 97th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 26% — national median 21%, ranked at the 84th percentile. Source: HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
  • Debt in collections at 41% — national median 23%, ranked at the 95th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
Distinctive Signals
Labor–Credit Divergence

Unemployment is 4%, near the national median of 4%, while subprime credit share runs at the 97th percentile. Jobs exist; wages don't close the gap.

Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 18-point drop to Granville County marks where the northern Piedmont NC distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Vance County, North Carolina and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Vance and its 4 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Vance County ranks 70th of 3,144. American Default Research
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Vance County has a very high county distress score. The domain table shows which local pressure carries the composite.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 26 words

The CDI gives this county a very high county distress label. The five-domain profile shows which local pressures carry the score. Its highest-scoring domain is Delinquency.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Reporting hook
Child poverty is the reporting lead

According to U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023), 37% of children under 18 in Vance County live below the federal poverty line, versus 18% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Jul 1, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.6% -3.5 pp since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

18.1% -0.2 pp since 1989
BEA 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

38.9% +29.7 pp since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

42.1% -1.2 pp since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Vance County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Vance County's value shown alongside NC's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Vance County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Vance NC median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 97 · Rank 32 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 11% 7% 5% 96th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 11% 7% 5% 97th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 42% 28% 23% 97th Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 79 · Rank 467 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 41% 27% 23% 95th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 156 87 126 62nd Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 81 · Rank 372 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 26% 22% 21% 84th HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 23% 19% 18% 78th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Labor — domain score 75 · Rank 745 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 4% 4% 75th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 88 · Rank 104 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 37% 21% 18% 97th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 19% 17% 16% 75th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 23% 15% 14% 93rd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 13% 10% 8% 81st U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Data compiled May 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS May 2026, QCEW 2024), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2026).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Delinquency Primary driver 97
Weight 20% · Rank 32 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 88
Weight 20% · Rank 104 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 81
Weight 20% · Rank 372 of 3,144
Default & Legal 79
Weight 20% · Rank 467 of 3,144
Labor 75
Weight 20% · Rank 745 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), FRED/Equifax (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2022 to 2026 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Vance County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
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HENDERSON, N.C. — Vance County ranks 70th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 83.8 out of 100 gives Vance a very high county distress label. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 69 counties rank more distressed. Within North Carolina, Vance ranks third of 100 counties.

The index, which draws on 13 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies delinquency as the primary driver in Vance. 42% of residents carry subprime credit (score below 660) — above the national median of 23%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Vance County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Vance County scores 83.8 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, with the score label very high county distress. It ranks 70th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 3rd of 100 North Carolina counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Vance County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Delinquency, at a domain score of 97. Subprime credit share ranks at the 97th percentile nationally.

How does Vance County compare to its neighbors?

Vance County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Warren County (73.18, high county distress). Lowest: Granville County (55.66, moderate county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 13 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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