#1,018 Montana · 2026

Musselshell County, Montana

60.6 · moderate-high county distress 1,018th of 3,144 counties nationally · 5,308 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
4% Musselshell residents
vs.
4% U.S. median

Above the national median for unemployment — and 4.5× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 1%).

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 37 words · paste-ready

Musselshell County, Montana ranks 1,018th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 4% of the labor force is unemployed — above the national median of 4%. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor.

Key Findings
  • 1,018th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — 60.6 · moderate-high county distress, 3rd in Montana.
  • 4% of the labor force is unemployed (U.S. median 4%). Unemployment at the 75th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026).
  • Disability rate at 20% — national median 16%, ranked at the 82nd percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023).
  • Auto loan delinquency at 11% — national median 5%, ranked at the 94th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 29% — national median 21%, ranked at the 93rd percentile. Source: HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
Distinctive Signals
Labor–Credit Divergence

Unemployment is 4%, near the national median of 4%, while auto loan delinquency runs at the 94th percentile. Jobs exist; wages don't close the gap.

Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 33-point drop to Fergus County marks where the Montana distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Musselshell County, Montana and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Musselshell and its 5 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Musselshell County ranks 1,018th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 21 words

Musselshell County has a moderate-high county distress score. The domain mix shows whether pressure is concentrated or spread across the profile.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 31 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate-high county distress label. The domain table shows whether the score comes from debt, labor, safety-net pressure, or a mix. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor.

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Jul 1, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

5.0% -2.3 pp since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

14.5% -3.1 pp since 1989
BEA 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

32.9% +20.4 pp since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

20.9% -4.3 pp since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Musselshell County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Musselshell County's value shown alongside MT's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Musselshell County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Musselshell MT median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 65 · Rank 1,032 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 11% 3% 5% 94th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 6% 3% 5% 63rd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 21% 16% 23% 38th Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 39 · Rank 2,023 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 22% 15% 23% 46th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 94 73 126 33rd Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 52 · Rank 1,441 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 29% 26% 21% 93rd HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 9% 14% 18% 11th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Labor — domain score 75 · Rank 745 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 3% 4% 75th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 71 · Rank 767 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 23% 17% 18% 74th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 20% 16% 16% 82nd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 16% 13% 14% 69th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 9% 8% 8% 58th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Data compiled May 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS May 2026, QCEW 2024), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2026).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Labor Primary driver 75
Weight 20% · Rank 745 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 71
Weight 20% · Rank 767 of 3,144
Delinquency 65
Weight 20% · Rank 1,032 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 52
Weight 20% · Rank 1,441 of 3,144
Default & Legal 39
Weight 20% · Rank 2,023 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), FRED/Equifax (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2022 to 2026 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Musselshell County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
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ROUNDUP, Mont. — Musselshell County ranks 1,018th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 60.6 out of 100 gives Musselshell a moderate-high county distress label. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 1,017 counties rank more distressed. Within Montana, Musselshell ranks third of 56 counties.

The index, which draws on 13 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies labor as the primary driver in Musselshell. 4% of the labor force is unemployed — above the national median of 4%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Musselshell County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Musselshell County scores 60.6 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, with the score label moderate-high county distress. It ranks 1,018th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 3rd of 56 Montana counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Musselshell County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Labor, at a domain score of 75. Unemployment ranks at the 75th percentile nationally.

How does Musselshell County compare to its neighbors?

Musselshell County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Rosebud County (59.78, moderate county distress). Lowest: Fergus County (27.13, low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 13 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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