#2,610 Missouri · 2026

Cole County, Missouri

Healthy 2,610th of 3,144 counties nationally · 77,278 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
7% Cole residents
vs.
4% U.S. median

Above the national median of residents with medical debt in collections.

Urban Institute (2024)

Main Findings

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Cole County, Missouri ranks 2,610th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. Cole sits near the national median across major distress indicators.

Key Findings
  • 2,610th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Healthy zone, 105th in Missouri.
  • 7% of residents with a credit file carry medical debt in collections (U.S. median 4%). Medical debt in collections at the 78th percentile nationally.
  • Homeownership rate at 67% — national median 74%, ranked at the 79th percentile.
  • Housing Cost Burden domain score 35 — weight 22.2% of the CDI composite.
  • Structural Poverty domain score 16 — weight 13.6% of the CDI composite.
County Distress Index cluster map. Cole County, Missouri and its neighbors colored by distress zone.
Cole and its 5 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Cole County ranks 2,610th of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Cole County is one of the steadier counties on the index — durable fundamentals across most domains. The risk pattern here is asymmetric: a single shock can change the picture quickly."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for voice-y features 29 words

"Healthy-zone counties have durable fundamentals across most distress domains. The risk pattern here is asymmetric: a single shock — health, housing, or income — can change the picture quickly."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

The Indicators Behind Cole County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Cole County's value shown alongside MO's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Cole County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Cole MO median U.S. median Pctile Source
Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 39 · Rank 1,963 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 21% 24% 23% 42nd Urban Institute (2024)
Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections 7% 5% 4% 78th Urban Institute (2024)
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 4% 6% 5% 29th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 3% 5% 5% 14th Urban Institute (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 7% 11% 8% 37th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 20% 24% 23% 36th Urban Institute (2024)
Housing Cost Burden — domain score 35 · Rank 2,166 of 3,144
Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent 32% 35% 38% 27th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 14% 16% 18% 28th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing 21% 23% 24% 24th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied 67% 76% 74% 79th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Structural Poverty — domain score 16 · Rank 2,874 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 3% 4% 4% 11th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 9% 14% 14% 16th Census SAIPE (2023)
Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median 1.32× 1.00× 1.00× 10th Census SAIPE (2023)
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 11% 19% 18% 16th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 13% 17% 16% 23rd Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 20% 30% 27% 22nd BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Legal Distress — domain score 41 · Rank 1,853 of 3,144
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 110 118 126 41st US Courts F-5A (2025)
Economic Vitality — domain score 12 · Rank 3,125 of 3,144
Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent 5.1× 4.0× 4.0× 7th BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024)
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 15% 20% 21% 1st HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents 11.3 10.4 10.0 38th Census Business Formation Statistics (2024)
House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change 7% 5% 4% 20th FHFA HPI (2024)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.

Legal Distress 41
Weight 7.4% · Rank 1,853 of 3,144 · Pctile 41
Consumer Credit Distress Primary driver 39
Weight 47.5% · Rank 1,963 of 3,144 · Pctile 38
Housing Cost Burden 35
Weight 22.2% · Rank 2,166 of 3,144 · Pctile 31
Structural Poverty 16
Weight 13.6% · Rank 2,874 of 3,144 · Pctile 9
Economic Vitality 12
Weight 9.2% · Rank 3,125 of 3,144 · Pctile 1

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Cole County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
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JEFFERSON CITY, Mo. — Cole County ranks 2,610th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 33 out of 100 places Cole in the "Healthy" zone. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 2,609 counties rank more distressed. Within Missouri, Cole ranks 105th of 115 counties.

The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Cole sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.

"Cole County is one of the steadier counties on the index — durable fundamentals across most domains. The risk pattern here is asymmetric: a single shock can change the picture quickly," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Cole County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Cole County scores 33 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the Healthy zone. It ranks 2,610th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 105th of 115 Missouri counties. A score of 50 is the national county median; higher = more distressed.

What drives Cole County's distress score?

The primary driver is Consumer Credit Distress, at a domain score of 39. Medical debt in collections ranks at the 78th percentile nationally.

How does Cole County compare to its neighbors?

Cole County's neighbors span two CDI zones. Highest-distress neighbor: Miller County (48.58, Normal). Lowest: Osage County (19.81, Healthy).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 21 indicators across five factors, derived via principal component analysis. Factor weights: Consumer Credit Distress 47.5%, Housing Cost Burden 22.3%, Structural Poverty 13.6%, Economic Vitality 9.2%, Legal Distress 7.4%. Data from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, and HUD. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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