#50 Top 100 Most Distressed Counties · 2026

Clay County, Kentucky

85.1 · very high county distress 50th of 3,144 counties nationally · 19,648 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
6% Clay residents
vs.
4% U.S. median

Above the national median for unemployment — and 6.3× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 1%).

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 37 words · paste-ready

Clay County, Kentucky ranks 50th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 6% of the labor force is unemployed — above the national median of 4%. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor.

Key Findings
  • 50th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — 85.1 · very high county distress, 4th in Kentucky.
  • 6% of the labor force is unemployed (U.S. median 4%). Unemployment at the 95th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026).
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 407 — national median 126, ranked at the 95th percentile. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 29% — national median 21%, ranked at the 93rd percentile. Source: HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
  • Child poverty rate at 54% — national median 18%, ranked at the 95th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
County Distress Index cluster map. Clay County, Kentucky and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Clay and its 7 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Clay County ranks 50th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 19 words

Clay County has a very high county distress score. The domain table shows which local pressure carries the composite.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 26 words

The CDI gives this county a very high county distress label. The five-domain profile shows which local pressures carry the score. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Uninsured rate sits well below the rest of the Safety Net & Buffer domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

According to U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023), Clay County's uninsured rate indicator is at the 13th percentile. American Default Research's CDI places every other indicator in the Safety Net & Buffer domain at or above the 95th percentile. The gap stands out against child poverty rate and disability rate. Worth a call to the source agency or a local subject-matter contact in Manchester.

Reporting hook
Child poverty is the reporting lead

According to U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023), 54% of children under 18 in Clay County live below the federal poverty line, versus 18% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Jul 1, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

6.4% -1.3 pp since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

33.6% -9.8 pp since 1989
BEA 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

56.5% +27.2 pp since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

39.2% -6.0 pp since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Clay County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Clay County's value shown alongside KY's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Clay County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Clay KY median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 68 · Rank 952 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 6% 6% 5% 58th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 5% 6% 5% 50th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 39% 28% 23% 95th Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 94 · Rank 61 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 39% 29% 23% 94th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 407 243 126 95th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 90 · Rank 157 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 29% 20% 21% 93rd HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 25% 18% 18% 87th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Labor — domain score 95 · Rank 68 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 6% 5% 4% 95th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 79 · Rank 426 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 54% 22% 18% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 28% 21% 16% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 37% 17% 14% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 5% 6% 8% 13th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Data compiled May 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS May 2026, QCEW 2024), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2026).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Labor Primary driver 95
Weight 20% · Rank 68 of 3,144
Default & Legal 94
Weight 20% · Rank 61 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 90
Weight 20% · Rank 157 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 79
Weight 20% · Rank 426 of 3,144
Delinquency 68
Weight 20% · Rank 952 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), FRED/Equifax (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2022 to 2026 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Clay County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 127-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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MANCHESTER, Ky. — Clay County ranks 50th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 85.1 out of 100 gives Clay a very high county distress label. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, only 49 rank more distressed. Within Kentucky, Clay ranks fourth of 120 counties.

The index, which draws on 13 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies labor as the primary driver in Clay. 6% of the labor force is unemployed — above the national median of 4%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Clay County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Clay County scores 85.1 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, with the score label very high county distress. It ranks 50th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 4th of 120 Kentucky counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Clay County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Labor, at a domain score of 95. Unemployment ranks at the 95th percentile nationally.

How does Clay County compare to its neighbors?

Clay County's neighbors span two CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Bell County (87.98, very high county distress). Lowest: Perry County (75.62, high county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 13 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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