Orange County, California
Above the national median for rent burden (30%+).
Main Findings
Orange County, California ranks 1,960th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 54% of renter households pay 30%+ of income on rent — above the national median of 38%.
- 1,960th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Normal zone, 38th in California.
- 54% of renter households pay 30%+ of income on rent (U.S. median 38%). Rent burden (30%+) at the 99th percentile nationally.
- Rent-to-income ratio at 35% — national median 21%, ranked at the 99th percentile.
- Legal Distress domain score 48 — weight 7.4% of the CDI composite.
- Consumer Credit Distress domain score 21 — weight 47.5% of the CDI composite.
Neighbors span three CDI zones. The 20-point drop to San Diego County marks where the Southern California distress corridor ends.
"Orange County sits at the national median, but the composition of its distress matters more than the composite score."
"Normal-zone counties are the national median. The interesting signal here isn't the composite score but which domain is moving fastest, up or down."
Reporter's Notes
Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.
Orange County's business formation rate indicator is at the 16th percentile — while every other indicator in the Economic Vitality domain is above the 67th. The gap stands out against wage-to-rent ratio and rent-to-income ratio. Worth a call to Urban Institute or a local credit counselor in Orange County.
The Indicators Behind Orange County's CDI Score
Every number traces to a public source. Orange County's value shown alongside CA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.
| Indicator | Orange | CA median | U.S. median | Pctile | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 21 · Rank 2,681 of 3,144 | |||||
| Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections | 14% | 18% | 23% | 13th | Urban Institute (2024) |
| Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections | 0% | 0% | 4% | 7th | Urban Institute (2024) |
| Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due | 4% | 4% | 5% | 28th | Urban Institute (2024) |
| Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due | 4% | 5% | 5% | 25th | Urban Institute (2024) |
| Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage | 7% | 6% | 8% | 38th | Census ACS 5-yr (2023) |
| Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 | 17% | 20% | 23% | 20th | Urban Institute (2024) |
| Housing Cost Burden — domain score 96 · Rank 15 of 3,144 | |||||
| Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent | 54% | 49% | 38% | 99th | Census ACS 5-yr (2023) |
| Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent | 28% | 25% | 18% | 95th | Census ACS 5-yr (2023) |
| Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing | 32% | 31% | 24% | 94th | Census ACS 5-yr (2023) |
| Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied | 56% | 63% | 74% | 4th | Census ACS 5-yr (2023) |
| Structural Poverty — domain score 12 · Rank 2,982 of 3,144 | |||||
| Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed | 4% | 6% | 4% | 40th | BLS LAUS (Dec 2025) |
| Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14th | Census SAIPE (2023) |
| Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median | 1.35× | 1.00× | 1.00× | 91st | Census SAIPE (2023) |
| Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line | 11% | 16% | 18% | 15th | Census SAIPE (2023) |
| Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability | 9% | 13% | 16% | 3rd | Census ACS 5-yr (2023) |
| Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers | 12% | 24% | 27% | 4th | BEA Regional Personal Income (2023) |
| Legal Distress — domain score 48 · Rank 1,636 of 3,144 | |||||
| Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents | 122 | 119 | 126 | 48th | US Courts F-5A (2025) |
| Economic Vitality — domain score 80 · Rank 135 of 3,144 | |||||
| Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent | 2.1× | 3.0× | 4.0× | 1st | BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024) |
| Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income | 35% | 27% | 21% | 99th | HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024) |
| Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents | 14.9 | 8.5 | 10.0 | 84th | Census Business Formation Statistics (2024) |
| House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change | 3% | 1% | 4% | 45th | FHFA HPI (2024) |
Five-Domain Breakdown
The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.
Methodology
The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).
Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.
For Press & Research
Everything you need to cite Orange County data — in under 60 seconds.
Draft wire copy 149-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
ORANGE, Calif.. — Orange County ranks 1,960th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.
The composite score of 44 out of 100 places Orange in the "Normal" zone, the highest-distress category on the index. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, only 1959 rank worse. Within California, Orange ranks 38th of 58 counties.
The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies housing cost burden as the primary driver in Orange. 54% of renter households pay 30%+ of income on rent — above the national median of 38%.
"Orange County sits at the national median, but the composition of its distress matters more than the composite score." said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.
Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Orange County's CDI score, and what does it mean?
What drives Orange County's distress score?
How does Orange County compare to its neighbors?
How is the County Distress Index calculated?
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