#545 California · 2026

Fresno County, California

Serious 545th of 3,144 counties nationally · 1,017,162 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
29% Fresno residents
vs.
23% U.S. median

Above the national median for subprime credit share.

Urban Institute (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 34 words · paste-ready

Fresno County, California ranks 545th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 29% of residents carry subprime credit (score below 660) — above the national median of 23%.

Key Findings
  • 545th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Serious zone, 6th in California.
  • 29% of residents carry subprime credit (score below 660) (U.S. median 23%). Subprime credit share at the 71st percentile nationally.
  • Homeownership rate at 55% — national median 74%, ranked at the 4th percentile.
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 28% — national median 21%, ranked at the 91st percentile.
  • Unemployment at 9% — national median 4%, ranked at the 97th percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span four CDI zones. The 36-point drop to Mono County marks where the Central Valley distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Fresno County, California and its neighbors colored by distress zone.
Fresno and its 8 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Fresno County ranks 545th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire quote — paste-ready, any angle 24 words

"The distress in Fresno County is the everyday kind: a household balance sheet bending under housing and health costs, not collapsing under job loss."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for voice-y features 27 words

"Serious-zone counties are where the cost curve is accelerating faster than wages can keep up. The distress reads like a housing story first, a credit story second."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Medical debt in collections sits near the national median — the one indicator that doesn't fit

Fresno County's medical debt in collections indicator is at the 7th percentile — while every other indicator in the Consumer Credit Distress domain is above the 50th. The gap stands out against the other credit indicators. Worth a call to Urban Institute or a local credit counselor in Fresno County.

The Indicators Behind Fresno County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Fresno County's value shown alongside CA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Fresno County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Fresno CA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 53 · Rank 1,451 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 23% 18% 23% 50th Urban Institute (2024)
Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections 0% 0% 4% 7th Urban Institute (2024)
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 6% 4% 5% 61st Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 7% 5% 5% 71st Urban Institute (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 7% 6% 8% 40th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 29% 20% 23% 71st Urban Institute (2024)
Housing Cost Burden — domain score 94 · Rank 46 of 3,144
Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent 52% 49% 38% 95th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 28% 25% 18% 94th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing 30% 31% 24% 90th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied 55% 63% 74% 4th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Structural Poverty — domain score 66 · Rank 902 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 9% 6% 4% 97th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 18% 13% 14% 77th Census SAIPE (2023)
Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median 0.88× 1.00× 1.00× 21st Census SAIPE (2023)
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 23% 16% 18% 75th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 13% 13% 16% 25th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 27% 24% 27% 50th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Legal Distress — domain score 56 · Rank 1,385 of 3,144
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 140 119 126 56th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Economic Vitality — domain score 83 · Rank 78 of 3,144
Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent 2.9× 3.0× 4.0× 9th BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024)
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 28% 27% 21% 91st HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents 9.4 8.5 10.0 42nd Census Business Formation Statistics (2024)
House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change 2% 1% 4% 33rd FHFA HPI (2024)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.

Housing Cost Burden 94
Weight 22.2% · Rank 46 of 3,144 · Pctile 94
Economic Vitality 83
Weight 9.2% · Rank 78 of 3,144 · Pctile 83
Structural Poverty 66
Weight 13.6% · Rank 902 of 3,144 · Pctile 66
Legal Distress 56
Weight 7.4% · Rank 1,385 of 3,144 · Pctile 56
Consumer Credit Distress Primary driver 53
Weight 47.5% · Rank 1,451 of 3,144 · Pctile 53

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Fresno County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 153-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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FRESNO, Calif.. — Fresno County ranks 545th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 67 out of 100 places Fresno in the "Serious" zone, the highest-distress category on the index. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, only 544 rank worse. Within California, Fresno ranks sixth of 58 counties.

The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies consumer credit distress as the primary driver in Fresno. 29% of residents carry subprime credit (score below 660) — above the national median of 23%.

"The distress in Fresno County is the everyday kind: a household balance sheet bending under housing and health costs, not collapsing under job loss." said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Fresno County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Fresno County scores 67 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the Serious zone. It ranks 545th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 6th of 58 California counties. A score of 50 is the national county median; higher = more distressed.

What drives Fresno County's distress score?

The primary driver is Consumer Credit Distress, at a domain score of 53. Subprime credit share ranks at the 71st percentile nationally.

How does Fresno County compare to its neighbors?

Fresno County's neighbors span 4 CDI zones. Highest-distress neighbor: Merced County (67.66, Serious). Lowest: Mono County (31.26, Healthy).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 21 indicators across five factors, derived via principal component analysis. Factor weights: Consumer Credit Distress 47.5%, Housing Cost Burden 22.3%, Structural Poverty 13.6%, Economic Vitality 9.2%, Legal Distress 7.4%. Data from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, and HUD. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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