#838 Arizona · 2026

Pima County, Arizona

Elevated 838th of 3,144 counties nationally · 1,063,162 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
6% Pima residents
vs.
5% U.S. median

Near the national median for auto loan delinquency.

Urban Institute (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 35 words · paste-ready

Pima County, Arizona ranks 838th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 6% of auto loan accounts are 60+ days past due — near the national median of 5%.

Key Findings
  • 838th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Elevated zone, 8th in Arizona.
  • 6% of auto loan accounts are 60+ days past due (U.S. median 5%). Auto loan delinquency at the 59th percentile nationally.
  • Rent burden (30%+) at 48% — national median 38%, ranked at the 89th percentile.
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 170 — national median 126, ranked at the 67th percentile.
  • House price change (yoy) at 1% — national median 4%, ranked at the 20th percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span two CDI zones. The 17-point drop to Graham County marks where the Tucson metro distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Pima County, Arizona and its neighbors colored by distress zone.
Pima and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Pima County ranks 838th of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Pima County is where distress lives in the margins — not a headline county, but a county where most households are running out of runway."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for voice-y features 24 words

"Elevated-zone counties are the largest block in the index. Most Americans live in counties scoring 55–70 — middle-class households doing the math every month."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Business formation rate sits near the national median — the one indicator that doesn't fit

Pima County's business formation rate indicator is at the 19th percentile — while every other indicator in the Economic Vitality domain is above the 60th. The gap stands out against the other credit indicators. Worth a call to Urban Institute or a local credit counselor in Pima County.

The Indicators Behind Pima County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Pima County's value shown alongside AZ's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Pima County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Pima AZ median U.S. median Pctile Source
Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 55 · Rank 1,395 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 24% 26% 23% 54th Urban Institute (2024)
Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections 4% 5% 4% 54th Urban Institute (2024)
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 6% 6% 5% 59th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 6% 6% 5% 54th Urban Institute (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 9% 11% 8% 57th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 24% 26% 23% 52nd Urban Institute (2024)
Housing Cost Burden — domain score 85 · Rank 254 of 3,144
Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent 48% 40% 38% 89th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 24% 19% 18% 84th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing 26% 24% 24% 71st Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied 65% 70% 74% 15th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Structural Poverty — domain score 45 · Rank 1,818 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 5% 6% 4% 68th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 14% 17% 14% 54th Census SAIPE (2023)
Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median 1.14× 1.00× 1.00× 77th Census SAIPE (2023)
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 18% 21% 18% 50th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 15% 15% 16% 43rd Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 26% 31% 27% 45th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Legal Distress — domain score 67 · Rank 1,048 of 3,144
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 170 128 126 67th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Economic Vitality — domain score 62 · Rank 899 of 3,144
Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent 3.7× 3.4× 4.0× 33rd BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024)
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 24% 28% 21% 75th HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents 14.2 10.9 10.0 81st Census Business Formation Statistics (2024)
House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change 1% 1% 4% 20th FHFA HPI (2024)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.

Housing Cost Burden 85
Weight 22.2% · Rank 254 of 3,144 · Pctile 85
Legal Distress 67
Weight 7.4% · Rank 1,048 of 3,144 · Pctile 67
Economic Vitality 62
Weight 9.2% · Rank 899 of 3,144 · Pctile 62
Consumer Credit Distress Primary driver 55
Weight 47.5% · Rank 1,395 of 3,144 · Pctile 55
Structural Poverty 45
Weight 13.6% · Rank 1,818 of 3,144 · Pctile 45

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Pima County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 155-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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PIMA, Ariz.. — Pima County ranks 838th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 62 out of 100 places Pima in the "Elevated" zone, the highest-distress category on the index. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, only 837 rank worse. Within Arizona, Pima ranks eighth of 15 counties.

The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies consumer credit distress as the primary driver in Pima. 6% of auto loan accounts are 60+ days past due — near the national median of 5%.

"Pima County is where distress lives in the margins — not a headline county, but a county where most households are running out of runway." said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Pima County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Pima County scores 62 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the Elevated zone. It ranks 838th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 8th of 15 Arizona counties. A score of 50 is the national county median; higher = more distressed.

What drives Pima County's distress score?

The primary driver is Consumer Credit Distress, at a domain score of 55. Auto loan delinquency ranks at the 59th percentile nationally.

How does Pima County compare to its neighbors?

Pima County's neighbors span two CDI zones. Highest-distress neighbor: Santa Cruz County (67.36, Serious). Lowest: Graham County (50.20, Elevated).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 21 indicators across five factors, derived via principal component analysis. Factor weights: Consumer Credit Distress 47.5%, Housing Cost Burden 22.3%, Structural Poverty 13.6%, Economic Vitality 9.2%, Legal Distress 7.4%. Data from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, and HUD. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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