#606 Ohio · 2026

Trumbull County, Ohio

68.1 · moderate-high county distress 606th of 3,144 counties nationally · 200,373 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
237 Trumbull residents
vs.
126 U.S. median

Above the national median for bankruptcy filing rate — and 32.4× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Glacier County, MT — 7).

Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 38 words · paste-ready

Trumbull County, Ohio ranks 606th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: a bankruptcy filing rate of 237 — above the national median of 126. Its highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal.

Key Findings
  • 606th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — 68.1 · moderate-high county distress, 1st in Ohio.
  • A bankruptcy filing rate of 237 (U.S. median 126). Bankruptcy filing rate at the 83rd percentile nationally. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
  • Auto loan delinquency at 7% — national median 5%, ranked at the 78th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Child poverty rate at 25% — national median 18%, ranked at the 81st percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
  • Severe rent burden (50%+) at 21% — national median 18%, ranked at the 69th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span four CDI score labels. The 51-point drop to Geauga County marks where the Mahoning Valley distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Trumbull County, Ohio and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Trumbull and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Trumbull County ranks 606th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire quote — paste-ready, any angle 21 words

"Trumbull County has a moderate-high county distress score. The domain mix shows whether pressure is concentrated or spread across the profile."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for feature use 33 words

"The CDI gives this county a moderate-high county distress label. The domain table shows whether the score comes from debt, labor, safety-net pressure, or a mix. Its highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Jul 1, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

5.9% -1.8 pp since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

13.3% +2.4 pp since 1989
BEA 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

31.3% +25.0 pp since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

25.2% -3.5 pp since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Trumbull County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Trumbull County's value shown alongside OH's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Trumbull County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Trumbull OH median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 69 · Rank 908 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 7% 5% 5% 78th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 7% 5% 5% 71st Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 25% 24% 23% 57th Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 74 · Rank 614 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 27% 24% 23% 64th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 237 187 126 83rd Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 66 · Rank 869 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 23% 20% 21% 64th HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 21% 18% 18% 69th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Labor — domain score 64 · Rank 1,088 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 3% 4% 64th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 68 · Rank 862 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 25% 17% 18% 81st U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 17% 15% 16% 64th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 17% 13% 14% 74th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 7% 6% 8% 39th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Data compiled May 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS May 2026, QCEW 2024), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2026).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Default & Legal Primary driver 74
Weight 20% · Rank 614 of 3,144
Delinquency 69
Weight 20% · Rank 908 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 68
Weight 20% · Rank 862 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 66
Weight 20% · Rank 869 of 3,144
Labor 64
Weight 20% · Rank 1,088 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), FRED/Equifax (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2022 to 2026 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Trumbull County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 144-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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WARREN, Ohio — Trumbull County ranks 606th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 68.1 out of 100 gives Trumbull a moderate-high county distress label. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 605 counties rank more distressed. Within Ohio, Trumbull ranks first of 88 counties.

The index, which draws on 13 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies default & legal as the primary driver in Trumbull. A bankruptcy filing rate of 237 — above the national median of 126.

"Trumbull County has a moderate-high county distress score. The domain mix shows whether pressure is concentrated or spread across the profile," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Trumbull County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Trumbull County scores 68.1 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, with the score label moderate-high county distress. It ranks 606th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 1st of 88 Ohio counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Trumbull County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal, at a domain score of 74. Bankruptcy filing rate ranks at the 83rd percentile nationally.

How does Trumbull County compare to its neighbors?

Trumbull County's neighbors span 4 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Mahoning County (65.05, moderate-high county distress). Lowest: Geauga County (14.39, very low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 13 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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