#859 New Mexico · 2026

Otero County, New Mexico

63.2 · moderate-high county distress 859th of 3,144 counties nationally · 68,835 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
31% Otero residents
vs.
18% U.S. median

Above the national median for child poverty rate — and 9.9× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Douglas County, CO — 3%).

U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 43 words · paste-ready

Otero County, New Mexico ranks 859th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 31% of children live below the federal poverty line — above the national median of 18%. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer.

Key Findings
  • 859th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — 63.2 · moderate-high county distress, 15th in New Mexico.
  • 31% of children live below the federal poverty line (U.S. median 18%). Child poverty rate at the 92nd percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
  • Unemployment at 5% — national median 4%, ranked at the 80th percentile. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026).
  • Auto loan delinquency at 7% — national median 5%, ranked at the 69th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 23% — national median 21%, ranked at the 65th percentile. Source: HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 24-point drop to Eddy County marks where the New Mexico distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Otero County, New Mexico and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Otero and its 8 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Otero County ranks 859th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 21 words

Otero County has a moderate-high county distress score. The domain mix shows whether pressure is concentrated or spread across the profile.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 34 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate-high county distress label. The domain table shows whether the score comes from debt, labor, safety-net pressure, or a mix. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Reporting hook
Child poverty is the reporting lead

According to U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023), 31% of children under 18 in Otero County live below the federal poverty line, versus 18% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Jul 1, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.4% -2.8 pp since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

19.3% +4.5 pp since 1989
BEA 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

30.7% +26.0 pp since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

27.0% -8.1 pp since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Otero County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Otero County's value shown alongside NM's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Otero County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Otero NM median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 64 · Rank 1,084 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 7% 5% 5% 69th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 6% 6% 5% 59th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 27% 26% 23% 65th Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 45 · Rank 1,783 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 29% 28% 23% 72nd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 65 65 126 17th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 48 · Rank 1,630 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 23% 26% 21% 65th HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 15% 18% 18% 31st U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Labor — domain score 80 · Rank 610 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 5% 5% 4% 80th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 80 · Rank 386 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 31% 27% 18% 92nd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 20% 20% 16% 82nd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 19% 19% 14% 84th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 9% 9% 8% 58th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Data compiled May 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS May 2026, QCEW 2024), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2026).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Safety Net & Buffer Primary driver 80
Weight 20% · Rank 386 of 3,144
Labor 80
Weight 20% · Rank 610 of 3,144
Delinquency 64
Weight 20% · Rank 1,084 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 48
Weight 20% · Rank 1,630 of 3,144
Default & Legal 45
Weight 20% · Rank 1,783 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), FRED/Equifax (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2022 to 2026 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Otero County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
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ALAMOGORDO, N.M. — Otero County ranks 859th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 63.2 out of 100 gives Otero a moderate-high county distress label. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 858 counties rank more distressed. Within New Mexico, Otero ranks 15th of 33 counties.

The index, which draws on 13 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies safety net & buffer as the primary driver in Otero. 31% of children live below the federal poverty line — above the national median of 18%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Otero County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Otero County scores 63.2 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, with the score label moderate-high county distress. It ranks 859th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 15th of 33 New Mexico counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Otero County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer, at a domain score of 80. Child poverty rate ranks at the 92nd percentile nationally.

How does Otero County compare to its neighbors?

Otero County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: El Paso County, TX (75.80, high county distress). Lowest: Eddy County (51.64, moderate county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 13 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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