#424 Top 500 Most Distressed Counties · 2026

Saginaw County, Michigan

71.6 · high county distress 424th of 3,144 counties nationally · 187,782 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
6% Saginaw residents
vs.
4% U.S. median

Above the national median for unemployment — and 6.1× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 1%).

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)

Main Findings

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Saginaw County, Michigan ranks 424th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 6% of the labor force is unemployed — above the national median of 4%. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor.

Key Findings
  • 424th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — 71.6 · high county distress, 4th in Michigan.
  • 6% of the labor force is unemployed (U.S. median 4%). Unemployment at the 95th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026).
  • Severe rent burden (50%+) at 26% — national median 18%, ranked at the 91st percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023).
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 360 — national median 126, ranked at the 94th percentile. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
  • Child poverty rate at 23% — national median 18%, ranked at the 72nd percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 30-point drop to Midland County marks where the mid-Michigan distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Saginaw County, Michigan and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Saginaw and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Saginaw County ranks 424th of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Saginaw County has a high county distress score. The score label gives the intensity; the rank gives the national position."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for feature use 32 words

"The CDI gives this county a high county distress label. The rank belongs beside the score because the two answer different questions: score intensity and national position. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Uninsured rate sits well below the rest of the Safety Net & Buffer domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

According to U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023), Saginaw County's uninsured rate indicator is at the 9th percentile. American Default Research's CDI places every other indicator in the Safety Net & Buffer domain at or above the 61st percentile. The gap stands out against the other credit indicators. Worth a call to the source agency or a local subject-matter contact in Saginaw.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Jul 1, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

6.5% -1.2 pp since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

16.8% +2.3 pp since 1989
BEA 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

31.7% +24.2 pp since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

24.2% -5.1 pp since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Saginaw County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Saginaw County's value shown alongside MI's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Saginaw County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Saginaw MI median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 53 · Rank 1,454 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 6% 4% 5% 66th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 5% 5% 5% 41st Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 24% 19% 23% 53rd Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 77 · Rank 526 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 26% 20% 23% 59th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 360 114 126 94th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 77 · Rank 476 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 23% 21% 21% 64th HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 26% 20% 18% 91st U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Labor — domain score 95 · Rank 53 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 6% 6% 4% 95th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 55 · Rank 1,376 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 23% 18% 18% 72nd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 18% 16% 16% 66th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 16% 14% 14% 69th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 4% 6% 8% 9th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Data compiled May 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS May 2026, QCEW 2024), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2026).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Labor Primary driver 95
Weight 20% · Rank 53 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 77
Weight 20% · Rank 476 of 3,144
Default & Legal 77
Weight 20% · Rank 526 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 55
Weight 20% · Rank 1,376 of 3,144
Delinquency 53
Weight 20% · Rank 1,454 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), FRED/Equifax (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2022 to 2026 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Saginaw County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
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SAGINAW, Mich. — Saginaw County ranks 424th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 71.6 out of 100 gives Saginaw a high county distress label. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 423 counties rank more distressed. Within Michigan, Saginaw ranks fourth of 83 counties.

The index, which draws on 13 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies labor as the primary driver in Saginaw. 6% of the labor force is unemployed — above the national median of 4%.

"Saginaw County has a high county distress score. The score label gives the intensity; the rank gives the national position," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Saginaw County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Saginaw County scores 71.6 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, with the score label high county distress. It ranks 424th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 4th of 83 Michigan counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Saginaw County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Labor, at a domain score of 95. Unemployment ranks at the 95th percentile nationally.

How does Saginaw County compare to its neighbors?

Saginaw County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Genesee County (75.11, high county distress). Lowest: Midland County (45.41, moderate-low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 13 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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