#1,116 Kentucky · 2026

Caldwell County, Kentucky

Second-most distressed fifth 1,116th of 3,144 counties nationally · 12,551 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
255 Caldwell residents
vs.
126 U.S. median

More than double the national median for bankruptcy filing rate — and 34.9× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Glacier County, MT — 7).

US Courts F-5A (2025)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 33 words · paste-ready

Caldwell County, Kentucky ranks 1,116th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: a bankruptcy filing rate of 255 — more than double the national median of 126.

Key Findings
  • 1,116th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Second-most distressed fifth, 91st in Kentucky.
  • A bankruptcy filing rate of 255 (U.S. median 126). Bankruptcy filing rate at the 86th percentile nationally.
  • Disability rate at 26% — national median 16%, ranked at the 95th percentile.
  • Unemployment at 4% — national median 4%, ranked at the 51st percentile.
  • Subprime credit share at 29% — national median 23%, ranked at the 72nd percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI distress fifths. The 29-point drop to Webster County marks where the Kentucky distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Caldwell County, Kentucky and its neighbors colored by distress fifth.
Caldwell and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Caldwell County ranks 1,116th of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Caldwell County ranks in the second-most distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The score is above the national county midpoint, with the domain table showing the local pressure mix."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for feature use 30 words

"The CDI places this county in the second-most distressed fifth nationally. The county sits above the median distress position, with the five-domain profile showing which local pressures carry the score."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Auto loan delinquency sits well below the rest of the delinquency domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

Caldwell County's auto loan delinquency indicator is at the 9th percentile — while every other indicator in the delinquency domain sits at or above the 69th percentile. The gap stands out against the other credit indicators. Worth a call to Urban Institute or a local credit counselor in Princeton.

The Indicators Behind Caldwell County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Caldwell County's value shown alongside KY's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Caldwell County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Caldwell KY median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 50 · Rank 1,556 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 3% 6% 5% 9th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 7% 6% 5% 69th Urban Institute (2024)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 29% 28% 23% 72nd Urban Institute (2024)
Default & Legal — domain score 78 · Rank 478 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 29% 29% 23% 70th Urban Institute (2024)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 255 243 126 86th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 40 · Rank 1,999 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 20% 20% 21% 36th HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 17% 18% 18% 44th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Labor — domain score 51 · Rank 1,503 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 4% 4% 51st BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 73 · Rank 671 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 22% 22% 18% 68th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 26% 21% 16% 95th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 16% 17% 14% 66th Census SAIPE (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 37% 34% 27% 88th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 10% 6% 8% 62nd Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Default & Legal Primary driver 78
Weight 20% · Rank 478 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 73
Weight 20% · Rank 671 of 3,144
Labor 51
Weight 20% · Rank 1,503 of 3,144
Delinquency 50
Weight 20% · Rank 1,556 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 40
Weight 20% · Rank 1,999 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Caldwell County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 153-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
DRAFT · 153 words · for immediate release · cleared for reuse with attribution to American Default Research

PRINCETON, Ky. — Caldwell County ranks 1,116th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 58 out of 100 places Caldwell in the second-most distressed fifth. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 1,115 counties rank more distressed. Within Kentucky, Caldwell ranks 91st of 120 counties.

The index, which draws on 16 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies default & legal as the primary driver in Caldwell. A bankruptcy filing rate of 255 — more than double the national median of 126.

"Caldwell County ranks in the second-most distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The score is above the national county midpoint, with the domain table showing the local pressure mix," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Caldwell County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Caldwell County scores 58 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the second-most distressed fifth. It ranks 1,116th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 91st of 120 Kentucky counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Caldwell County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal, at a domain score of 78. Bankruptcy filing rate ranks at the 86th percentile nationally.

How does Caldwell County compare to its neighbors?

Caldwell County's neighbors span three CDI distress fifths. Highest-distress neighbor: Christian County (82.10, Most distressed fifth). Lowest: Webster County (52.79, Middle fifth).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 16 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

Read more
from Ross →