#905 Kentucky · 2026

Caldwell County, Kentucky

62.5 · moderate-high county distress 905th of 3,144 counties nationally · 12,551 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
255 Caldwell residents
vs.
126 U.S. median

More than double the national median for bankruptcy filing rate — and 34.9× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Glacier County, MT — 7).

Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 40 words · paste-ready

Caldwell County, Kentucky ranks 905th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: a bankruptcy filing rate of 255 — more than double the national median of 126. Its highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal.

Key Findings
  • 905th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — 62.5 · moderate-high county distress, 82nd in Kentucky.
  • A bankruptcy filing rate of 255 (U.S. median 126). Bankruptcy filing rate at the 86th percentile nationally. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
  • Disability rate at 26% — national median 16%, ranked at the 95th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023).
  • Unemployment at 4% — national median 4%, ranked at the 70th percentile. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026).
  • Subprime credit share at 29% — national median 23%, ranked at the 72nd percentile. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 28-point drop to Webster County marks where the Kentucky distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Caldwell County, Kentucky and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Caldwell and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Caldwell County ranks 905th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 21 words

Caldwell County has a moderate-high county distress score. The domain mix shows whether pressure is concentrated or spread across the profile.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 33 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate-high county distress label. The domain table shows whether the score comes from debt, labor, safety-net pressure, or a mix. Its highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Auto loan delinquency sits well below the rest of the Delinquency domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

According to Urban Institute Debt in America (2025), Caldwell County's auto loan delinquency indicator is at the 9th percentile. American Default Research's CDI places every other indicator in the Delinquency domain at or above the 69th percentile. The gap stands out against the other credit indicators. Worth a call to the source agency or a local subject-matter contact in Princeton.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Jul 1, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.2% -3.2 pp since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

16.0% +1.6 pp since 1989
BEA 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

36.8% +22.6 pp since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

28.9% -3.4 pp since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Caldwell County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Caldwell County's value shown alongside KY's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Caldwell County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Caldwell KY median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 50 · Rank 1,556 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 3% 6% 5% 9th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 7% 6% 5% 69th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 29% 28% 23% 72nd Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 78 · Rank 478 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 29% 29% 23% 70th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 255 243 126 86th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 40 · Rank 1,999 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 20% 20% 21% 36th HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 17% 18% 18% 44th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Labor — domain score 70 · Rank 902 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 5% 4% 70th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 74 · Rank 625 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 22% 22% 18% 68th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 26% 21% 16% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 16% 17% 14% 66th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 10% 6% 8% 62nd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Data compiled May 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS May 2026, QCEW 2024), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2026).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Default & Legal Primary driver 78
Weight 20% · Rank 478 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 74
Weight 20% · Rank 625 of 3,144
Labor 70
Weight 20% · Rank 902 of 3,144
Delinquency 50
Weight 20% · Rank 1,556 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 40
Weight 20% · Rank 1,999 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), FRED/Equifax (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2022 to 2026 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Caldwell County data — in under 60 seconds.

Embed preview — paste into any CMS <iframe src="https://americandefault.org/embed/county/21033/" width="600" height="300" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" style="border:1px solid #e5e7eb;border-radius:8px;" title="Caldwell County, KY — County Distress Index"></iframe>
Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 129-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
DRAFT · 129 words · for immediate release · cleared for reuse with attribution to American Default Research

PRINCETON, Ky. — Caldwell County ranks 905th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 62.5 out of 100 gives Caldwell a moderate-high county distress label. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 904 counties rank more distressed. Within Kentucky, Caldwell ranks 82nd of 120 counties.

The index, which draws on 13 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies default & legal as the primary driver in Caldwell. A bankruptcy filing rate of 255 — more than double the national median of 126.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Caldwell County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Caldwell County scores 62.5 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, with the score label moderate-high county distress. It ranks 905th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 82nd of 120 Kentucky counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Caldwell County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Default & Legal, at a domain score of 78. Bankruptcy filing rate ranks at the 86th percentile nationally.

How does Caldwell County compare to its neighbors?

Caldwell County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Christian County (83.70, very high county distress). Lowest: Webster County (55.41, moderate county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 13 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

Read more
from Ross →