{
  "series_id": "cdi",
  "validation": {
    "dispositions_gate": {
      "pass": true,
      "n_merged_indicators": 24,
      "n_members": 14,
      "n_merged_excluded": 11,
      "n_processed_files": 21,
      "n_consumed_sources": 9,
      "n_unconsumed_dispositioned": 12
    },
    "coverage": {
      "n_counties": 3144,
      "counties_fully_covered": 2826,
      "low_confidence_count": 59
    },
    "band_edges": [
      629,
      1258,
      1886,
      2515
    ]
  },
  "name": "County Distress Index (CDI)",
  "taxonomy_version": "family-v1",
  "composition_version": 4,
  "composition_fingerprint": "debt_burden:rent_to_income_ratio,debt_burden:renters_50pct_burdened,default_legal:debt_in_collections_pct,default_legal:filing_rate_per_100k,delinquency:auto_loan_delinq_pct,delinquency:cc_delinq_pct,delinquency:subprime_pct,labor:prime_age_not_working_pct,labor:unemployment_rate_12mo_avg,safety_net_buffer:child_poverty_rate,safety_net_buffer:disability_rate,safety_net_buffer:median_household_income,safety_net_buffer:poverty_rate,safety_net_buffer:uninsured_rate",
  "level": "county",
  "last_updated": "2026-09-30",
  "source_last_updated": "2026-08-31",
  "composition_effective_at": "2026-09-30",
  "calculation_effective_at": "2026-09-30",
  "rebuild_record": [
    "drafts/index_rebuild_2026-06-09/cdi/METHOD.md",
    "docs/audit/cold_reviews/2026-06-09_index_rebuild_cdi.md",
    "docs/audit/cold_reviews/2026-06-09_index_rebuild_cdi_rereview.md"
  ],
  "methodology": {
    "taxonomy_version": "family-v1",
    "level": "county",
    "n_counties": 3144,
    "domains": {
      "delinquency": {
        "display": "Delinquency",
        "weight": 0.2,
        "members": {
          "cc_delinq_pct": 0.06666666666666667,
          "auto_loan_delinq_pct": 0.06666666666666667,
          "subprime_pct": 0.06666666666666667
        }
      },
      "default_legal": {
        "display": "Default & Legal",
        "weight": 0.2,
        "members": {
          "debt_in_collections_pct": 0.1,
          "filing_rate_per_100k": 0.1
        }
      },
      "debt_burden": {
        "display": "Debt Burden (housing basis)",
        "weight": 0.2,
        "members": {
          "renters_50pct_burdened": 0.1,
          "rent_to_income_ratio": 0.1
        }
      },
      "labor": {
        "display": "Labor",
        "weight": 0.2,
        "members": {
          "unemployment_rate_12mo_avg": 0.1,
          "prime_age_not_working_pct": 0.1
        }
      },
      "safety_net_buffer": {
        "display": "Safety Net & Buffer",
        "weight": 0.2,
        "members": {
          "poverty_rate": 0.04,
          "child_poverty_rate": 0.04,
          "disability_rate": 0.04,
          "uninsured_rate": 0.04,
          "median_household_income": 0.04
        }
      }
    },
    "composition_change": {
      "version": 4,
      "effective_at": "2026-09-30",
      "change": "The Labor domain's single input, one month of county unemployment, is replaced by two inputs that split the domain's one-fifth weight evenly: the average county unemployment rate over the latest 12 months, and the share of adults aged 25 to 54 who are not working. People living in institutions such as prisons and nursing homes are left out of that share. The score rule and the other twelve inputs are unchanged.",
      "reason": "One month of a not-seasonally-adjusted county series ranks seasonal swings in farm, resort and school-year counties as distress. A 12-month average removes the season, and the prime-age not-working share counts the adults who have left the labor force, whom the unemployment rate leaves out.",
      "retired_members": [
        "unemployment_rate"
      ],
      "added_members": [
        "prime_age_not_working_pct",
        "unemployment_rate_12mo_avg"
      ],
      "previous": {
        "version": 3,
        "effective_at": "2026-09-29",
        "change": "Membership unchanged. The published score became the share of the other counties whose composite is lower, as a whole number rounded down. Ranks still sort the composite, which stays published as composite_mean.",
        "reason": "The composite is a mean of domain means of member percentiles, so it bunches toward the middle and a composite of 90 sat far above 90% of counties.",
        "previous": {
          "version": 2,
          "effective_at": "2026-07-28T00:00:00Z",
          "retired_members": [
            "eitc_pct_of_returns",
            "snap_rate",
            "transfer_income_pct"
          ],
          "reason": "These measures describe program reach or the government-response share of income rather than direct household need. They remain available as county data but do not enter the distress composite."
        }
      }
    },
    "weighting_rule": "Equal domain weights (1/number_of_domains) and equal within-domain indicator weights (domain_weight/number_of_members), recomputed from the registry by counting on every run; zero fitted parameters.",
    "orientation": {
      "cc_delinq_pct": "higher_is_worse",
      "auto_loan_delinq_pct": "higher_is_worse",
      "subprime_pct": "higher_is_worse",
      "debt_in_collections_pct": "higher_is_worse",
      "filing_rate_per_100k": "higher_is_worse",
      "renters_50pct_burdened": "higher_is_worse",
      "rent_to_income_ratio": "higher_is_worse",
      "unemployment_rate_12mo_avg": "higher_is_worse",
      "prime_age_not_working_pct": "higher_is_worse",
      "poverty_rate": "higher_is_worse",
      "child_poverty_rate": "higher_is_worse",
      "disability_rate": "higher_is_worse",
      "uninsured_rate": "higher_is_worse",
      "median_household_income": "lower_is_worse"
    },
    "inverted_indicators": [
      "median_household_income"
    ],
    "normalization": "Hazen percentile per indicator across all counties in one pass: (average_rank - 0.5) / n * 100, ties averaged. Relative by construction (national mean ~= 50 every refresh); county-over-time movement comes from history snapshots, not from reinterpreting the score.",
    "score_rule": {
      "composite_mean": "mean of the domain scores (each the mean of its member percentiles), published at 6 decimals",
      "score": "share of the other counties whose composite_mean is lower: (n - rank) / (n - 1) * 100, tied counties sharing the lower count, so it reads 'more distressed than X% of U.S. counties' literally. score is that share rounded down to a whole number; score_precise keeps it unrounded.",
      "ranking": "competition ranks on composite_mean, 1 = most distressed; counties share a rank only when their composites are equal (national_rank_tied / state_rank_tied). Public surfaces print the national rank only for the top and bottom 100 counties; the state rank always prints."
    },
    "small_county_clip": {
      "population_threshold": 20000,
      "clip_range": [
        5.0,
        95.0
      ],
      "rationale": "Stops one noisy indicator from catapulting a tiny county to the extremes; a small county still reaches the top when many indicators move together. Policy constant carried from v2.",
      "meaning_caveat": "For counties at or below the population threshold, published per-indicator percentiles are clipped to the clip range. A clipped value reads 'at least the 95th percentile' or 'at most the 5th percentile'; the literal reading 'more distressed than X% of counties' applies only to unclipped cells."
    },
    "coverage_gate": {
      "threshold": 0.75,
      "rule": "indicator admitted only with >= 75% pre-imputation county coverage, counted after the data-integrity quarantine (a quarantined cell is not a real observation); build fails otherwise",
      "pre_imputation_coverage": {
        "cc_delinq_pct": {
          "present": 2974,
          "missing": 170,
          "coverage_pct": 94.6
        },
        "auto_loan_delinq_pct": {
          "present": 2848,
          "missing": 296,
          "coverage_pct": 90.6
        },
        "subprime_pct": {
          "present": 3127,
          "missing": 17,
          "coverage_pct": 99.5
        },
        "debt_in_collections_pct": {
          "present": 3063,
          "missing": 81,
          "coverage_pct": 97.4
        },
        "filing_rate_per_100k": {
          "present": 3033,
          "missing": 111,
          "coverage_pct": 96.5
        },
        "renters_50pct_burdened": {
          "present": 3144,
          "missing": 0,
          "coverage_pct": 100.0
        },
        "rent_to_income_ratio": {
          "present": 3143,
          "missing": 1,
          "coverage_pct": 100.0
        },
        "unemployment_rate_12mo_avg": {
          "present": 3143,
          "missing": 1,
          "coverage_pct": 100.0
        },
        "prime_age_not_working_pct": {
          "present": 3133,
          "missing": 11,
          "coverage_pct": 99.7
        },
        "poverty_rate": {
          "present": 3143,
          "missing": 1,
          "coverage_pct": 100.0
        },
        "child_poverty_rate": {
          "present": 3143,
          "missing": 1,
          "coverage_pct": 100.0
        },
        "disability_rate": {
          "present": 3144,
          "missing": 0,
          "coverage_pct": 100.0
        },
        "uninsured_rate": {
          "present": 3144,
          "missing": 0,
          "coverage_pct": 100.0
        },
        "median_household_income": {
          "present": 3143,
          "missing": 1,
          "coverage_pct": 100.0
        }
      }
    },
    "missing_data_rule": "Missing cells imputed with the state median of measured (never-imputed) counties for that indicator, falling back to the national median of measured counties when a whole state is missing. Every imputed cell is flagged in imputed_indicators, every county publishes imputed_share, and imputed_share > 0.25 sets low_confidence.",
    "registry_exclusions": {
      "criterion": "a committed county candidate joins the registry only if it measures a household-distress rate or share with stable cross-sectional orientation, clears the 75% pre-imputation admission gate, and is neither a population subset/superset nor a duplicate construct of an existing member; every merge-layer indicator and every processed source file is a member, a consumed source, or carries a written disposition - enforced by the fail-closed dispositions gate at build time",
      "merged_excluded": [
        {
          "indicator": "business_app_rate_per_1k",
          "reason": "business formation measures economic dynamism, not a household-distress rate; fails the level criterion (the SDI dispositions carry the same class for jolts_quits)."
        },
        {
          "indicator": "homeownership_rate",
          "reason": "no stable distress orientation: low ownership marks urban rental markets at every income level, not household distress."
        },
        {
          "indicator": "hpi_yoy_change_pct",
          "reason": "a price change with no stable distress orientation (falling prices strike owners, rising prices strike entrants); the change class has no representative direction."
        },
        {
          "indicator": "medical_debt_pct",
          "reason": "population subset: medical debt in collections is a component of the member debt_in_collections_pct (same Equifax panel, same publisher); admitting both double-counts collections and raises the single-vendor share the rebuild set out to reduce."
        },
        {
          "indicator": "mhi_ratio_to_state_median",
          "reason": "re-normalization of the member median_household_income (state-relative instead of national rank); a duplicate construct, not an independent measure."
        },
        {
          "indicator": "owners_30pct_burdened",
          "reason": "owner-side cost burden mixes mortgage choice and wealth composition (high shares in high-income coastal metros); no stable cross-sectional distress orientation."
        },
        {
          "indicator": "renters_30pct_burdened",
          "reason": "cumulative superset of the member renters_50pct_burdened (ACS B25070 shares are cumulative); admitting both double-counts renter burden - the severe-burden member carries the domain."
        },
        {
          "indicator": "student_loan_delinq_pct",
          "reason": "fails the 75% admission gate (67.7% pre-imputation coverage) and carries the federal payment-moratorium reporting-regime break (the same class the national ADI dispositions document)."
        },
        {
          "indicator": "transfer_income_pct",
          "reason": "retired in composition version 2: transfer income measures the government-response share of personal income rather than household need. It remains in the county data layer for response-side analysis but cannot enter a distress composite."
        },
        {
          "indicator": "unemployment_rate",
          "reason": "replaced in composition version 4 by its 12-month average (unemployment_rate_12mo_avg): one month of a not-seasonally-adjusted county series ranks seasonal swings in farm, resort and school-year counties as distress. The latest month stays in the county data layer for display."
        },
        {
          "indicator": "wage_to_rent_ratio",
          "reason": "same housing-affordability construct family as the member rent_to_income_ratio with a different numerator source; admitting both double-weights affordability inside debt_burden."
        }
      ],
      "unconsumed_sources": [
        {
          "source": "bea_income.json",
          "disposition": "retired from the CDI panel in composition version 2 with transfer_income_pct. The file remains a county response-side data source but no longer contributes a distress-composite member."
        },
        {
          "source": "business_formation.json",
          "disposition": "business_app_rate_per_1k is dispositioned as economic dynamism rather than household distress; the file remains in the broader county data layer but does not feed the CDI scoring panel."
        },
        {
          "source": "cdc_places.json",
          "disposition": "health-outcome prevalence panel, outside the distress taxonomy; not evaluated in the family-v1 design."
        },
        {
          "source": "county_health_rankings.json",
          "disposition": "health-outcome composite, outside the distress taxonomy; not evaluated in the family-v1 design."
        },
        {
          "source": "energy_burden.json",
          "disposition": "not evaluated in the family-v1 design; joins only via a versioned registry diff."
        },
        {
          "source": "eviction_lab.json",
          "disposition": "not evaluated in the family-v1 design; 2,610 of 3,144 counties (83%) would pass the admission gate, so the versioned registry-diff path is open."
        },
        {
          "source": "fdic_branches.json",
          "disposition": "branch access is banking infrastructure, not a household-distress rate; not evaluated in the family-v1 design."
        },
        {
          "source": "fhfa_hpi.json",
          "disposition": "hpi_yoy_change_pct has no stable cross-sectional distress direction; the file remains in the broader county data layer but does not feed the CDI scoring panel."
        },
        {
          "source": "hud_fha_county.json",
          "disposition": "not admitted to the family-v1 scoring panel. The source now includes all published unfiltered county results, but retains HUD's native geography, including retired Connecticut counties. No predecessor values are allocated to planning regions. Any future membership change requires a versioned registry diff."
        },
        {
          "source": "irs_soi_income.json",
          "disposition": "retired from the CDI panel in composition version 2 with eitc_pct_of_returns. EITC claims measure program reach rather than household need; the source remains available for response-side analysis and can re-enter only through a versioned registry diff."
        },
        {
          "source": "ssa_ssi.json",
          "disposition": "not evaluated for family-v1 membership. History: the source was corrupted at design time (2026-06-09 BONUS-1: the parser bound each row's own FIPS code as the aged-recipients column) and was regenerated clean by PR #895 (3,087 of 3,144 counties, all nine CT regions native). Still unwired; joins only via a versioned registry diff."
        },
        {
          "source": "wages.json",
          "disposition": "wage_to_rent_ratio duplicates the active housing-affordability construct and is excluded from CDI; the file remains available to other county-data consumers."
        }
      ]
    },
    "data_quarantine": {
      "rule": "Cells whose committed values describe the wrong geography are treated as unmeasured and take the missing-data path. Current scope: EMPTY - the table is the permanent containment mechanism; entries require committed evidence and a removal contract.",
      "history": "The 2026-06-09 cold review found three sources carried Connecticut under a positional legacy-FIPS remap (wrong-geography values on all nine planning regions, including a fabricated national-maximum bankruptcy rate). The prototype quarantined the five affected indicators for the nine regions. The upstream fix landed 2026-06-09 (PR #889: name-verified crosswalk, three sources re-pulled, the merge regenerated), the removal contract fired, and the table was emptied with the fix verified against the committed files. The Urban source audit preserves native predecessor-county observations outside the 2022 planning-region join. Regions not published by Urban have missing native inputs and disclosed imputation; T14 checks the collected source-place manifest and rejects lost published rows or copied aliases. The source audit later removed predecessor-rate inheritance. Urban and FRED retain native predecessor counties outside the current planning-region join; source absences are disclosed as imputed. T14 protects published native places and series identities, never a fabricated regional alias.",
      "quarantined": {
        "indicators": [],
        "fips": [],
        "cells_dropped_real": {},
        "cells_dropped_merge_imputed": {},
        "cells_total": 0
      }
    },
    "plausibility_gate": {
      "rule": "Every measured county rate on a per-capita count input must sit within PLAUSIBILITY_MAX_STATE_RATIO x its state's aggregate rate (population-weighted mean of measured county rates, identical to state count total / state population). Violation fails the build: it is the signature of a numerator and denominator describing different geographies.",
      "indicators": [
        "filing_rate_per_100k"
      ],
      "threshold": 5.0,
      "measured": {
        "filing_rate_per_100k": {
          "threshold": 5.0,
          "max_ratio": 3.07,
          "max_ratio_county": {
            "fips": "37073",
            "county": "Gates County, NC",
            "rate": 280.4,
            "state_aggregate": 91.3,
            "ratio": 3.07
          },
          "states_skipped_no_measured_cells": []
        }
      }
    },
    "policy_constants": {
      "population_clip_threshold": {
        "value": 20000,
        "lineage": "carried from CDI v2"
      },
      "clip_bounds": {
        "value": [
          5.0,
          95.0
        ],
        "lineage": "carried from CDI v2"
      },
      "coverage_gate_threshold": {
        "value": 0.75,
        "lineage": "carried from CDI v2"
      },
      "low_confidence_imputed_share": {
        "value": 0.25,
        "lineage": "new in this rebuild (no v2 counterpart)"
      },
      "plausibility_max_state_ratio": {
        "value": 5.0,
        "lineage": "new in this rebuild (no v2 counterpart)"
      }
    },
    "bands": {
      "n_bands": 5,
      "edges_rule": "round(i * n / n_bands) for i in 1..n_bands-1; ties share their rank's band",
      "edges": [
        629,
        1258,
        1886,
        2515
      ],
      "labels": {
        "1": "Least distressed fifth",
        "2": "Second-least distressed fifth",
        "3": "Middle fifth",
        "4": "Second-most distressed fifth",
        "5": "Most distressed fifth"
      },
      "labels_status": "locked by editorial decision 2026-06-09: self-anchoring quintile wording shared with SDI; severity ascends with the band number - band 5 = most distressed fifth (family band-direction rule)",
      "direction": "published band ascends with distress; band_for_rank counts 1..5 from the most distressed ranks, so published band = N_BANDS + 1 - band_for_rank(rank)"
    },
    "vendor_shares": {
      "bls_laus": 0.1,
      "census_acs": 0.28,
      "census_saipe": 0.12,
      "equifax_fred": 0.0667,
      "equifax_urban_institute": 0.2333,
      "hud_saipe": 0.1,
      "uscourts": 0.1
    },
    "equifax_derived_share": 0.3,
    "indicator_vintages": {
      "cc_delinq_pct": "Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax panel), vintage 2025",
      "auto_loan_delinq_pct": "Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax panel), vintage 2025",
      "subprime_pct": "Equifax via FRED (EQFXSUBPRIME), quarterly observations 2006-04-01..2026-04-01",
      "debt_in_collections_pct": "Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax panel), vintage 2025",
      "filing_rate_per_100k": "U.S. Courts table F-5A, 12-month period ending December 31, 2025",
      "renters_50pct_burdened": "Census ACS 5-Year 2020-2024, table B25070",
      "rent_to_income_ratio": "HUD Fair Market Rents FY2027 / Census SAIPE 2024",
      "unemployment_rate_12mo_avg": "BLS LAUS, average of the monthly rates from September 2025 to August 2026 (BLS published no figures for October 2025)",
      "prime_age_not_working_pct": "Census ACS 5-Year 2024, table B23001, less residents of institutions (2020 Census, table PCO2)",
      "poverty_rate": "Census SAIPE 2024",
      "child_poverty_rate": "Census SAIPE 2024",
      "disability_rate": "Census ACS 5-Year 2024, table S1810",
      "uninsured_rate": "Census ACS 5-Year 2024, table S2701",
      "median_household_income": "Census SAIPE 2024"
    },
    "source_stamps": {
      "bankruptcy.json.period": "2025-12-31",
      "community_vulnerability.json.vintage": "2024-12-31",
      "debt_delinquency.json.data_date": "2025-08-31",
      "employment.period": "2026-08-31",
      "fred_subprime.period": "2026-04-01",
      "housing_burden.json.vintage": "2024-12-31",
      "hud_fmr.json.fiscal_year": "2026-10-01",
      "income_poverty.json.vintage": "2024-12-31"
    },
    "imputation_counts_this_run": {
      "cc_delinq_pct": {
        "total": 9,
        "state_median": 0,
        "national_median": 9
      },
      "auto_loan_delinq_pct": {
        "total": 9,
        "state_median": 0,
        "national_median": 9
      },
      "subprime_pct": {
        "total": 9,
        "state_median": 0,
        "national_median": 9
      },
      "debt_in_collections_pct": {
        "total": 9,
        "state_median": 0,
        "national_median": 9
      },
      "median_household_income": {
        "total": 1,
        "state_median": 1,
        "national_median": 0
      }
    }
  },
  "summary": {
    "n_counties": 3144,
    "score_max": 100.0,
    "score_mean": 50.0,
    "score_median": 50.0,
    "score_min": 0.0,
    "band_counts": {
      "1": 629,
      "2": 629,
      "3": 628,
      "4": 629,
      "5": 629
    },
    "counties_fully_covered": 2826,
    "counties_with_any_imputed_cell": 318,
    "max_imputed_share": 0.72,
    "low_confidence_count": 59,
    "quarantined_cells": 0,
    "quarantined_counties": 0
  },
  "counties": {
    "01001": {
      "fips": "01001",
      "county_name": "Autauga County",
      "state_abbr": "AL",
      "state_fips": "01",
      "state_name": "Alabama",
      "population": 60342,
      "pop_tier": "mid",
      "score": 53,
      "score_precise": 53.8021,
      "composite_mean": 52.295271,
      "national_rank": 1453,
      "national_rank_tied": false,
      "state_rank": 61,
      "state_rank_tied": false,
      "band": 3,
      "band_label": "Middle fifth",
      "domains": {
        "delinquency": {
          "display": "Delinquency",
          "score": 69.2,
          "weight": 0.2,
          "indicators": {
            "cc_delinq_pct": 79.06,
            "auto_loan_delinq_pct": 66.6,
            "subprime_pct": 61.94
          }
        },
        "default_legal": {
          "display": "Default & Legal",
          "score": 80.55,
          "weight": 0.2,
          "indicators": {
            "debt_in_collections_pct": 63.28,
            "filing_rate_per_100k": 97.82
          }
        },
        "debt_burden": {
          "display": "Debt Burden (housing basis)",
          "score": 31.29,
          "weight": 0.2,
          "indicators": {
            "renters_50pct_burdened": 45.2,
            "rent_to_income_ratio": 17.38
          }
        },
        "labor": {
          "display": "Labor",
          "score": 37.45,
          "weight": 0.2,
          "indicators": {
            "unemployment_rate_12mo_avg": 7.74,
            "prime_age_not_working_pct": 67.16
          }
        },
        "safety_net_buffer": {
          "display": "Safety Net & Buffer",
          "score": 42.98,
          "weight": 0.2,
          "indicators": {
            "poverty_rate": 47.74,
            "child_poverty_rate": 47.92,
            "disability_rate": 52.15,
            "uninsured_rate": 44.96,
            "median_household_income": 22.15
          }
        }
      },
      "imputed_indicators": [],
      "quarantined_indicators": [],
      "imputed_share": 0,
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          "display": "Debt Burden (housing basis)",
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          "display": "Debt Burden (housing basis)",
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